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BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON FOX 30 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend we have a complimentary Card on big FOX. We’re finally getting the rematch with Dustin Poirier vs Eddie Alvarez following their first battle ended in a No Contest. These are just two of the most exciting fighters in the UFC and we ought to observe an awesome fight here. DraftKings has some decent contests out for this particular card and I was amazed to find that a $20k top prize in their main tournament. That’s what I will be pursuing and I will be making a bunch of LUs to throw to that. Here are a Couple of plays I like for Saturday and my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Stack (Dustin Poirier $8,800 AND Eddie Alvarez $7,400)
This is an effortless method to begin my money LU this week and I expect this to be very well known in most cash game formats. These two have been on pace for a top scoring struggle in their first fight and I believe we’ve got an easy 100+ between the two of them . I think the winner of this fight will score over 100 points themselves and then we add all the sig strikes and other points from the failure as well. But we promise ourselves the win. The only way this fight doesn’t score more than 100 DK points is someone gets kneed in the head illegal and the fight is stopped short….
GPP play of this week — Hakeem Dawodu ($9,400)
I believe that this matchup was set up to get Dawodu a win. In addition, I believe Islam Makhachev, who’s $200 more, will probably be quite highly owned and this could be a fantastic pivot off him to distinguish your LU a little bit. I really do think Dawodu will obtain some good possession as well but I think he is a solid GPP play this week. I believe the most likely outcome in this fight is Dawodu getting a (T)KO win. He should pay off his $9.4k salary if that is the case, particularly if it is early. He is a very solid striker and we didn’t get to see that in his UFC debut at which he was angry very early in the struggle. This is the best fit for him to showcase his striking and there was so much hype behind him moving into his introduction. I believe we can see a 1st round KO here and that makes Hakeem Dawodu my GPP play of the week.
Underdog drama of this week — Ion Cutelaba ($7,600)
The main reason Cutelaba is my underdog drama of this week is because there is no way he isn’t scoring at least 10x if he is able to get the win. He’s got big power and may get a 1st round KO score and here over 100 DK points. If he does that with his economical salary of $7.6k he will certainly be at the winning lineup. This is a solid fight to target either side but points per salary shrewd, Cutelaba has one of those higher ceilings on the card. I do not see this fight going to decision and the winner should score highly. I think if you’re making numerous lineups this weekend then you must definitely have exposure to Cutelaba.
Fade of the week — Katlyn Chookagian ($8,700)
I’m fading a couple of fighters this week personally, but the individual I never considered using was Katlyn Chookagian. It’s not that I don’t believe she can win, because she for sure could. But I don’t see her paying off an $8.7k DK salary with a win. I think we would require a complete from her in this fight to receive 10x that wages and I think that’s very unlikely to take place. The most Chookagian has scored in a UFC fight so far in her profession is 83 DK points. That wouldn’t be enough here to place her at the winning lineup at her $8.7k price label. I think if you are making 20 or less lineups this Saturday you may safely fade Chookagian and if she’s a win it should not hurt much.
If you would like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown with investigation on every fight, my private approaches & recommendations, and my selection prediction for every single fight then it is possible to find that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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