This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card in Sweden. It turned out to be a 13-fight card, but we just had Oezdemir/Latifi drop off, so be sure they are not in your lineups. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to acquire a lot of money from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first place cost and $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 entries that match. I will attempt to receive my seat this week. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those too hard. I will probably stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw a small number of entries at that $25k decoration, then I will take a few shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a fantastic quantity of play into cash games.
With that said, let’s get into a few plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of this week — Alexander Gustafsson — $9,300
Gus is my confident pick of the card this week and he is also the largest betting favorite on the card. I believe we can stack this principal event in cash games and utilize both Gus and Anthony Smith, but I am not sure if I’ll do that or not. I will for sure have Gustafsson in my money lineup however and he’s who I will be starting that lineup with. With 5-rounds to work with I think he has the maximum ceiling about the card and that I think he gets a complete in this fight. Possibly with multiple takedowns. He’ll be extremely popular in GPPs so if you would like to escape from him I think that the tournaments are the areas for that. I will be locking him to my cash lineup though .
GPP play of the week — Tonya Evinger — $8,600
On DraftKings, I like Evinger in her struggle and I have zero interest in Lansberg. Evinger’s best path to victory is penalizing Lansberg on the floor and that scores tremendously if she can accomplish that. In addition, I think she could get a finish. I think she is in play in all formats and I really do think she’s 100+ upside here and that’s the reason she’s my GPP drama of this week. There are not many UFC matchups I would say that for using Evinger at this point in her career, but this one seems perfect for her. I believe she dominates this battle and ends it with ground in pound in round 2 or 1. If that is the case, she must score well and win somebody $25k.
Underdog play of this week — Devin Clark — $7,500
I’m pressured to play Devin Clark this week since he is just $7.5k however he is the present gaming favorite. I really like that type of value on DraftKings and that is what’s forcing me to roll up him. We must include”underdogs” within our DK lineups and if we could get a favorite, or possibly a roster with 6 favorites, then which helps our likelihood of hitting all 6 conflicts and taking down a GPP. Clark ought to be popular this week also because of this value, therefore I think he’s in play as a cash game cube and if you would like, but in GPPs you will need to have him more than 33% of your lineups to get any leverage over the field.
Fade of this week — Duda Santana $8,600
Duda Santana is a simple fade for me this week. She’s $8.6k but she’s the underdog about the gambling line. She is also +365 to win ITD. If I am paying that cost on DK I need higher completing upside or someone who’ll be heading for a great deal of takedowns. I really don’t see her having much of a ceiling inside this fight even if she does win so that I do not see her being on the $25k lineup. That’s the reason I will be full fading Santana this week. If I had been making 150 lineups then I would include her in the mix, but I’d need 50 lineups before I even considered using her.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight about the card and provide my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, then you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are available at that link as well. I am 79-48 to get +256.49u (+$25,649) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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