Vegas Over/Under: 31.5
Fromal’s Record Projection: 30-52 The Bet: Avoid but lean under
Spoiler alert: Losing Paul George is a major deal.
According to NBA Math’s total points added (TPA) metric, the haul–if you can call it that–brought back in return couldn’t quite match his creation during the 2016-17 season. Whereas the celebrity small forward finished with 150.42 TPA, Victor Oladipo (minus-58.86 TPA) and Domantas Sabonis (minus-159.61) fell just a bit short.
Of course, the Pacers purchased into these kids for their long-term potential. They should improve throughout the 2017-18 effort, and the exact same is true of Myles Turner, who’s a good bet to turn into a first-time All-Star during the upcoming season. This roster does have some upside down, especially when factoring in Cory Joseph and T.J. Leaf.
But is that enough to overcome the departures of George and C.J. Miles? Probably not, which is why a steep dropoff should be expected after the Pacers somehow exceeded expectations to complete with a 42-40 record .
These players will be studying in featured characters, and losses will happen quite often. But that is not a terrible thing. Let the up-and-comers develop, maximize the capacity of draft choices during the 2018 potential pageant and reap the benefits in the future.
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