Vegas Over/Under: 31.5
The Record Projection: 30-52 of fromal The Bet: lean although Prevent under
Spoiler alert: Losing Paul George is a major thing.
Based on NBA Math’s total points added (TPA) metric, the haul–if you can call it that–brought back in return couldn’t quite match his production throughout the 2016-17 season. Whereas the superstar small forward ended with 150.42 TPA, Victor Oladipo (minus-58.86 TPA) and Domantas Sabonis (minus-159.61) fell a bit short.
Obviously, the Pacers bought within these youngsters for their long-term potential. They ought to improve throughout the 2017-18 effort, and the same is true of Myles Turner, who is a solid bet to turn into a first-time All-Star during the upcoming season. This roster does have some upside down, especially when factoring in Cory Joseph and T.J. Leaf.
However, is that sufficient to overcome the departures of both George and C.J. Miles? Not, which explains why a steep dropoff should be expected after the Pacers somehow surpassed expectations to complete with a 42-40 record lest year.
These players will be studying in featured characters, and losses will happen quite frequently. But that’s not a thing that is bad. Allow the up-and-comers grow, maximize the potential of draft choices during the 2018 prospect pageant and reap the benefits down the road.
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