Vegas Over/Under: 48.5
Fromal’s Record Projection: 48-34
The Bet: Avoid but lean under
Though the Toronto Raptors’ offseason could be deemed a favorable since they were able to retain Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka, they didn’t escape scot-free.
Cory Joseph and DeMarre Carroll were exchanged away to fresh locations, which puts much more pressure on Delon Wright and new signing C.J. Miles to fill the shoes of the departed contributors.
Luckily, they ought to be able to.
Joseph was not particularly successful in Toronto, and Wright has significantly more upside as Lowry’s primary backup. And after Carroll proved a separation on his new contract, Miles should match with his spot-up prowess and willingness to do the small things so well.
All these are strong but largely lateral moves, containing high floors but little more than hints in loftier ceilings.
The Raptors went 51-31 last year, and that was an accurate representation of the abilities.
However, regression is coming–not because of roster moves, but instead gamers sliding down in the leaguewide pecking order. Lowry is another year removed from his 30th birthday (terrible news for a point guard), Ibaka is no spring chicken and the group is relying on even more youth for its thickness, which could lead to some inconsistent showings.
Toronto should still finish near the top of the Eastern Conference; our projections have them in No. 4. But pushing for 50 wins may be asking a bit much.
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